The NYT Freakonomics blog has a good summary of just what the hell is happening right now in financial markets.
Archive for the ‘finance’ Category
Summary of the financial apocalypse
Thursday, September 18th, 2008Recent photos from North Korea
Wednesday, September 17th, 2008North Korea, or a post-financial apocalypse United States? Some amazing recent photos from North Korea at Boston.com (from @pkedrosky).
NNT on current financial crisis
Wednesday, September 17th, 2008Largely a repeat of his books but interesting in context of the last few days/weeks/months. The Fourth Quadrant: A Map of the limits of Statistics.
Ballard real estate
Wednesday, September 17th, 2008I learned today from my new favorite blog myballard.com that our zip code is the eight fastest selling in the country, with an average time on the market of 86 days. Looking at the list Ballard has done pretty well in comparison to many higher up on the list, like Plano, Tex. (#4) where prices are down 2.8% year-over-year, and #7 Wakefield, Mass. (down 7.3%). We’re down just 0.9%.
Like most averages this one is totally meaningless. The slow end of the average has to be dominated by overpriced condos (like the two next door to us that have not sold in over a year – dunno who we should thank more for that, the a-hole developers who left nails in our driveway and gave us three flat tires over the year, or my neighbor who with his Native American friend put a curse on the a-hole developers) and run-down overpriced tear downs with a good view and elderly owners who need to cash out to retire.
Investment banking in a nutshell
Friday, March 14th, 2008Help me understand investment banking if you can… as I see it, the business follows the “business cycle” with just two phases: 1) make up a bubble and earn record bonuses; then 2) d’oh! find out that all that money never really existed in the first place, but get bailed out by the government. Convenient.
The Bernanke Put
Wednesday, January 23rd, 2008Bubblegeneration: The Bernanke Put and the Macropocalypse: “By preventing the market from finding a bottom, the Fed just transferred risk from hedge funds, banks, and other people holding illiquid assets, to you – people holding liquid assets.”
Totally agree… while it decreases pain in the short term the “Bernanke Put” ensures that the wacked out compensation (bankers make money when they’re lucky or good; you lose money otherwise) and evil pervading wall street is here to stay.
Suze Orman is my hero
Friday, November 23rd, 2007Suze Orman is totally my hero. Most of the “financial advisers” that you see on tv are complete frauds and provide absolutely useless advice. Suze (pronounced Susie, not Soooze, as B recently taught me) though, is honest and actually gives good advice. And she likes Seattle real estate right now.
Mad Money by Jim Cramer
Sunday, September 30th, 2007
Breean checked out Mad Money by Jim Cramer from the library for me the other day. I was pretty skeptical cause he’s such a nutcase but the book is actually pretty good. I recommend it for some pretty simple but reasonable investing advice.
Malcolm Gladwell and the Johnson School on Enron
Wednesday, January 10th, 2007Interesting Malcolm Gladwell piece in the New Yorker about “Enron, intelligence, and the perils of too much information.” In short, the world has changed and many fields have moved from puzzles (not enough information) to mysteries (too much information).
Let’s just quote from the end:
In the spring of 1998, Macey notes, a group of six students at Cornell University’s business school decided to do their term project on Enron. “It was for an advanced financial-statement-analysis class taught by a guy at Cornell called Charles Lee, who is pretty famous in financial circles,” one member of the group, Jay Krueger, recalls.
…
The students’ conclusions were straightforward. Enron was pursuing a far riskier strategy than its competitors. There were clear signs that “Enron may be manipulating its earnings.” The stock was then at forty-eight dollars—at its peak, two years later, it was almost double that—but the students found it over-valued. The report was posted on the Web site of the Cornell University business school, where it has been, ever since, for anyone who cared to read twenty-three pages of analysis. The students’ recommendation was on the first page, in boldfaced type: “Sell.”
Found the report on this page.
The financial troubles of a billionaire
Tuesday, January 31st, 2006You gotta love the emails Larry Ellison’s (fifth richest person in the country) accountant sends him [from paul k]:
At the bottom of a document that detailed Ellison’s 2000 debt load, Simon had scrawled a rough accounting of Ellison’s lavish spending, according to deposition testimony:
- Life Style — annual $20m
- Interest Accrual — annual $75m
- Villa in Japan — $25m
- New Yacht — $194m — over 3 yrs
- America’s Cup — $80m — over 3 yrs
- UAD — 12m over 3 yrs.”
I wonder what UAD is… “Ultra Appealing Diamonds”? “Underground Antarctica Dome”? “Underage Agressive Dogs”? Inquiring minds want to know.